Jumat, 28 Februari 2014

[F354.Ebook] PDF Download The Sabermetric Revolution: Assessing the Growth of Analytics in Baseball, by Benjamin Baumer, Andrew Zimbalist

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The Sabermetric Revolution: Assessing the Growth of Analytics in Baseball, by Benjamin Baumer, Andrew Zimbalist

From the front office to the family room, sabermetrics has dramatically changed the way baseball players are assessed and valued by fans and managers alike. Rocketed to popularity by the 2003 bestseller Moneyball and the film of the same name, the use of sabermetrics to analyze player performance has appeared to be a David to the Goliath of systemically advantaged richer teams that could be toppled only by creative statistical analysis. The story has been so compelling that, over the past decade, team after team has integrated statistical analysis into its front office. But how accurately can crunching numbers quantify a player's ability? Do sabermetrics truly level the playing field for financially disadvantaged teams? How much of the baseball analytic trend is fad and how much fact?

The Sabermetric Revolution sets the record straight on the role of analytics in baseball. Former Mets sabermetrician Benjamin Baumer and leading sports economist Andrew Zimbalist correct common misinterpretations and develop new methods to assess the effectiveness of sabermetrics on team performance. Tracing the growth of front office dependence on sabermetrics and the breadth of its use today, they explore how Major League Baseball and the field of sports analytics have changed since the 2002 season. Their conclusion is optimistic, but the authors also caution that sabermetric insights will be more difficult to come by in the future. The Sabermetric Revolution offers more than a fascinating case study of the use of statistics by general managers and front office executives: for fans and fantasy leagues, this book will provide an accessible primer on the real math behind moneyball as well as new insight into the changing business of baseball.

  • Sales Rank: #528100 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-01-22
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.02" h x .48" w x 5.98" l, .65 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 208 pages

Review

"Andrew Zimbalist and Benjamin Baumer do the best job yet of evaluating the benefits and the myths of the ever-growing world of baseball analytics. This is a must-read for anyone interested in where sports metrics have been as well as where they're going."—Stan Kasten, CEO of the Los Angeles Dodgers



"An ideal introduction to the topic of advanced statistics in baseball, The Sabermetric Revolution provides a thorough overview of the ways in which analytics has transformed the management and coaching of baseball. Demonstrating how the game has been changed by the evolving use of data over time, Baumer and Zimbalist also offer a tantalizing glimpse of how sabermetrics may continue to develop in the future."—Prozone Sports



"The Sabermetric Revolution is like the story behind the story. Michael Lewis's classic tugs at our heartstrings and opens our eyes, but Baumer and Zimbalist help us look behind the curtain. If you've ever wanted to understand what happens in the other offices around the general manager, this is a brilliant book."—Will Carroll, lead writer for sports medicine in Bleacher Report



"Former Mets sabermetrician Benjamin Baumer and sports economist Andrew Zimbalist's The Sabermetric Revolution takes an expert look at the statistical analysis craze, debunking misconceptions and evaluating the role of sabermetrics in the future—no doubt of great interest to future general managers, both real and fantasy league."—The Daily Beast



"Moneyball was a good read by Michael Lewis and a good part for Brad Pitt, but as Ben Baumer and Andrew Zimbalist show, it was primarily a good fairy tale. The Sabermetric Revolution doesn't just debunk, but has a high slugging average with all sorts of valuable new insights and baseball numbers. But, be on guard, stats freaks: it isn't doctrinaire."—Frank Deford, commentator for NPR and HBO Real Sports



"The Sabermetric Revolution truly is an engaging and succinct illumination of where the field is and how it got here. The book is ideal for a reader who wishes to tie together the importance of everything they have digested from sites like Fangraphs, Baseball Prospectus, Hardball Times, Beyond the Box Score, and, even, yes, Camden Depot. . . . Well worth the read."—Jon Shepherd, Camden Depot



"Moneyball played an important role in highlighting to mass culture the evolution of decision making in Major League Baseball front offices—but this was only a momentary reflection of a broader movement within the game. In The Sabermetric Revolution, Baumer and Zimbalist provide a much more accurate understanding of the exceptional work of the A's to overcome their expected outcomes and how other front offices continue to advance objective analysis and its role in player personnel decisions. A must read for anyone who wants a deeper understanding of why and how baseball continues to lead the way in the use of analytics."—Mark Shapiro, president of the Cleveland Indians



"Sabermetricians have developed new and important ways of measuring player performance. Baumer and Zimbalist turn the table on the sabermetricians and evaluate their performance. The result is an interesting and balanced portrayal of what the authors believe works and what doesn't, and of the challenges that lie ahead."—Bob Costas, broadcaster for NBC and MLBTV



"Leo Durocher once said that 'Baseball is like church; many attend, few understand.' The Sabermetric Revolution is a must-read for those in the baseball congregation seeking understanding of how objective analytics can be used to determine intrinsic value, identify undervalued and overvalued assets and dynamics, and create competitive advantage."—Tom Garfinkel, former president and CEO of the San Diego Padres



"The Sabermetric Revolution is an excellent and well-written look at where sabermetric knowledge stands today. This is a very useful book."—Tyler Cowen, Marginal Revolution

From the Author

Daily Beast list of best baseball books 2014. "Former Mets sabermetrician Benjamin Baumer and sports economist Andrew Zimbalist's The Sabermetric Revolution: Assessing the Growth of Analytics in Baseball takes an expert look at the statistical analysis craze, debunking misconceptions and evaluating the role of sabermetrics in the future--no doubt of great interest to future general managers, both real and fantasy league."

"Baumer and Zimbalist provide an interesting case study of the use of statistics by general managers and front office executives. For fans and fantasy leagues, the book is an accessible primer on the real math behind moneyball including new insights into the changing business of baseball."  David Low, The Wesleyan Connection.

sophia.smith.edu/~azimbali/TheSabermetricRevolution.htm

About the Author
Benjamin Baumer is Director of the Program in Statistical and Data Sciences at Smith College. He was formerly the statistical analyst for the baseball operations department of the New York Mets. Andrew Zimbalist is Robert A. Woods Professor of Economics at Smith College, a frequent sports industry consultant and media commentator, and author of many books, including In the Best Interests of Baseball? Governing the National Pastime.

Most helpful customer reviews

24 of 25 people found the following review helpful.
This is a very important book for every baseball person from the fan to the GM to the Owner
By Clark C. Griffith
This could be a very long review because this very important book contains much to comment on. I will, however, let you read this book to fully grasp what it says. You will have a complete review of baseball statistical analysis from the creation of the box score, through the Dodgers early efforts in the 1950's, to early regression analysis and then the full blown Sabermetrics efforts of today. This book also does a great service in pointing out the errors Michael Lewis added to "Money Ball" the book and errors in the movie, that have bothered me since I first saw the movie. In fact, Lewis violated Bob Uecker's first rule of resumes, "Don't lie about your batting average, they'll look that up." by "altering fact."

Zimbalist and Baumer provide a guide for the reader who want to know what analytics is and what it does, and they go further by stating the limits as well. You will find, contrary to stats geeks, that scouting is in the ascendancy, as it should be.

What I found most enlightening is explanation of the distinction between statistical analysis and data analysis. This is because I think there is too much data out there and data science, through big data management, is the way to go and is the way the secrets locked in the data will be revealed. This is good news for Sabermetricians as their tools will be enhanced.

Simply stated, if you are a baseball person at whatever level, from fan to GM, this is the book for you. I think its impact will be significant and the game will be better understood because of it.

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Great book
By James W Wetzler
This is a must-read for anyone interested in analyzing sports. After an entertaining first chapter deconstructing the various errors and omissions in Moneyball, to which the authors attribute the surge of interest in analytics both inside and outside the sports industry, the book proceeds to a very accessible summary of what is and isn't known about the subject. It clarifies the baseball GM's basic analytical problem--that the performance indicators of individual players that are most closely associated with team wins experience very little consistency from one year to the next, so that it is easy to explain a team's performance in a particular season but very difficult to make a reliable prediction of how it will do the next season. It then summarizes the much more rudimentary state of analytics in other sports and explains why this is the case. The book concludes with a path-breaking quantitative analysis of the success of baseball analytics in improving team performance. Highly recommended for serious sports fans.

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Inside the ultra-hyper-new age geek baseball analysis thats sticking a 'saber' into the side of old school baseball culture
By Amazon Customer
First, make sure you have either read the book or seen the movie 'Moneyball,' because much of the early parts of this book relates directly to it, especially what is not considered a factual portrayal in the movie or the book of what actually happened concerning the 'saber' revolution in Oakland. Next, be prepared to learn why sabermetricians typically have a very strong academic background in statistics, such as degrees in economics. Then be prepared to 1) realize that the geeks are truly geeks and not usually 'inside' baseball people; 2) be ready to accept that sabermetrics is a discipline that is changing the philosophy on how the game is perceived and played and 3) be ready to be overwhelmed by an onslaught of 'foreign' baseball acronyms that can become very difficult to process, such as WAR, fWAR, rWAR, UZR, FIELD/fx, MORP and DER without a handy guide. Its a brave new baseball world.

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Selasa, 25 Februari 2014

[M107.Ebook] PDF Ebook This Is the Zodiac Speaking: Into the Mind of a Serial Killer, by Michael D Kelleher Ph.D., David Van Nuys

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This Is the Zodiac Speaking: Into the Mind of a Serial Killer, by Michael D Kelleher Ph.D., David Van Nuys

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This Is the Zodiac Speaking: Into the Mind of a Serial Killer, by Michael D Kelleher Ph.D., David Van Nuys

California was thrown into a paralysis of fear in 1969, distraught over the unsolved murders of the Zodiac killer. The Zodiac became the most elusive and frustrating adversary ever encountered by the law enforcement community in the San Francisco Bay Area. A series of letters, allegedly written by the murderer himself and published in local newspapers, only added to the mystery and panic. Over 30 years after he exploded onto the headlines of the San Francisco Chronicle, the Zodiac serial killer remains an enigma that is unparalleled in the history of crime in America, and the case remains unsolved. Violence expert Michael Kelleher and psychologist David Van Nuys attempt to provide a glimpse into the mind of this mysterious murderer.

Kelleher and Van Nuys reconstruct the crime scenes, delve into the records, and psychoanalyze the Zodiac's letters to newspapers and the law enforcement agencies. The facts of the case and the fragmentary glimpses of the Zodiac's psychodynamics that came through his letters forced the authors, reluctantly, to draw a conclusion that is sure to be controversial-namely, that the Zodiac suffered from multiple personality disorder. They also debunk many popular legends and myths about the case, laying out the limited facts that we do have on the notorious Zodiac.

  • Sales Rank: #1592711 in Books
  • Published on: 2001-12
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.00" w x 6.00" l, 1.35 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 280 pages

Review
"Michael Kelleher and David Van Nuys have combined journalistic and psychological skills to resurrect the Zodiac Case and give it new life. I was among the uniformed officers searching for Zodiac 30 years ago. Back then, we were never provided the kind of specific facts and theories so well compiled by Kelleher and Van Nuys, nor did we have these psychological profiling capabilities available to us. This excellent rendering of Zodiac's evil psyche could have made a difference. As it is, this deft analysis raises the possibility that the Zodiac may still be among us. We may get him yet!"-Alan W. Benner, Ph.D San Francisco Police Department 35 years service, retired as SFPD's Chief Psychologist

Review
"Michael Kelleher and David Van Nuys have combined journalistic and psychological skills to resurrect the Zodiac Case and give it new life. I was among the uniformed officers searching for Zodiac 30 years ago. Back then, we were never provided the kind of specific facts and theories so well compiled by Kelleher and Van Nuys, nor did we have these psychological profiling capabilities available to us. This excellent rendering of Zodiac's evil psyche could have made a difference. As it is, this deft analysis raises the possibility that the Zodiac may still be among us. We may get him yet!" (Alan W. Benner, Ph.D, San Francisco Police Department, 35 years service, retired as SFPD's Chief Psychologist)

"Unless the Zodiac killer is finally apprehended or decides to resume his public personna, this is probably as close as we will get to a sense of what moved an individual both to such extremes of private violence and to such demands for public acknowledgment. Thanks to Kelleher and Van Nuys, a new generation is invited to puzzle over what drives an individual like the Zodiac." (Doug Davis, Haverford College)

"A thrilling detective story, one that many of its readers will not be able to put down. Kelleher and Van Nuys have done their homework in spades; the result is a book that explores those dark and dangerous dimensions of the human psyche that many people tend to ignore. The authors make a compelling case that the Zodiac was suffering from a dissociative identity disorder, in other words that 'multiple personalities' were involved in his crimes." (Stanley Krippner, Saybrook Graduate School)

About the Author

MICHAEL D. KELLEHER, who has written widely on the subject of violence, specializes in threat assessment, strategic management, and human resources management for organizations in the private and public sectors. He is the author of When Good Kids Kill (1998), Murder Most Rare (1998), Profiling the Lethal Employee (1997), Flash Point: The American Mass Murderer (1997), and New Arenas for Violence (1996), all published by Praeger.

DAVID VAN NUYS is Chair of the Psychology Department at Sonoma State University in Northern California. He serves on the board of directors of Division 32 (Humanistic Psychology) of the American Psychological Association. Van Nuys earned his doctorate in clinical psychology from the University of Michigan and has worked as a licensed psychotherapist in both New Hampshire and California. A frequent public speaker, he has also published in professional journals, popular magazines and was the author of a nationally syndicated newspaper column. In addition to his university teaching, Van Nuys is President of e-FocusGroups, a market research consulting firm.

Most helpful customer reviews

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Analyzing Zodiac.
By J.L. Populist
"This is the Zodiac speaking" is an investigation into the Zodiac killings.
What makes this book interesting is the psychological analysis by Mr. Van Nuys,chair of the Psychology Dept. at Sonoma state University.

A quote from page 6 lays out the objective of the book- "We will begin this fascinating journey with facts-solid irrefutable facts and nothing more."
With that in mind,the authors avoid speculating on the personal identity of the Zodiac killer.

The authors explain the differences in the Riverside and Zodiac letters. They make a compelling argument for different writers based on the style of the letters with a different emphasis. By that reasoning,the man who murdered Cheri Jo Bates was not the Zodiac.

The Santa Rosa hitchhiker murders were examined for possible links to the Zodiac. They seem to be un-related on various levels.

It's obvious from the aftermath of the Stine murder that luck played no small part in the Zodiac avoiding discovery and arrest. You get the sense that he never recovered from his close call with the SFPD immediately following the cab driver's murder.

"Overall,it appears that Zodiac was deteriorating psychologically and had now relegated himself to engaging in a strange fantasy dance with the media."-page 140.

The British language connection was intriguing. Although witnesses state that he had no accent,one has to wonder where that connection came from. Were one of his parents of British origin?

The change in tone in some of the letters,notably three from 1974,was examined. This "denoted a change in Zodiac's psyche that probably related to his ongoing and significant psychological disorder." He may very well have had two personalities. Another interesting theory has the change in tone as a positive result of therapy or medication.

This book doesn't solve the Zodiac killings,but it does shed light on the psychology and evolution of the killer.
After reading this book I have to wonder if Zodiac didn't succomb to suicide or by some means become more psychologically stable?
We may never know the answer. I recommend this book as a clear,sensible investigation of the Zodiac murders.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Great, with a few caveats
By Cornerstone
This is a refreshing book. What is absent is the lack of a pet suspect for a case grown cold. Also, unlike certain crime writers and profilers, the authors aren't egomaniacs who think they can deduce everything about the suspect from what little evidence we have. The authors instead offer informed, intelligent speculation. Their approach is intelligent and intellectual, but without the academic jargon which often just obfuscates issues and is a substitute for real-world analysis. I believe this is the best book I have ever read on an unsolved crime.
My only caveat, is that they are willing to buck the handwriting experts for no good reason. The 1978 letter, after briefly being considered as a possible genuine letter, was quickly and unanimously ruled a fake by handwriting experts. Even without handwriting analysis it should be obvious that it is fake from the content. For example, in the 1978 the author specifically mentions two individuals and spells their name correctly. In all real letters, people are always "the boy", "the girl", "the kiddies", "the editor", "the blue meanies", etc.--dehumanizing victims by not even acknowledging their names. In the real Zodiac letters he only addresses Avery by name and deliberately misspells it Averly. It is a shame that, for some unknown reason the authors chose the 1978 letter as genuine despite the handwriting and content contradictions. (And Kelleher, on one of the Zodiac websites, actually believes that a 1990 obviously fake postcard is real! This is a postcard handwriting experts dismiss, as it was written in pencil and traced over in marker. Also the "hesitation marks" in the writing are clear indications of forgery.) Just ignore anything either has to say on the 1978 and 1990 "Zodiac communications" and enjoy the most reasoned, balanced effort at unsolved, true-crime writing.

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
The controversy is compelling, the read is even better.
By Filo Barnesworth
I find it interesting how much controversy has been stirred up by this excellent book. ..The truth is that this is an excellent read. However, it takes a very different position on the Zodiac killer. In essence, the authors find that this killer was anything but a genius. He was, in fact, brutal, not particularly educated but naturally bright and manipulative. In othe words, much like one would expect from his crimes. However, this concept apparently upsets any number of alleged "Zodiac investigators" who consistently portray the killer as some kind of demigod of exceptional genius.
This point of controversy may lie at the heart of why this book has received so many glowing reviews and a few absolute "pans." It is clear from the "pans" that they were written by alleged "Zodiac investigators" who seem to hold fast to the killer as something special. This obviously flies in the face of what the authors of this book believe. It also would seem to fly in the face of common sense, at least from a law enforcement perspective.
Is is possible that by portraying the Zodiac killer as a rather ordinary, definitely sick, and clearly evil individual these "Zodiac investigators" have, themselves, been brought to a more mundane role? It would seem so.
This is an fine read, different, and definitely controversial. For those who have a closed mind about the Zodiac killer, or view themselves as the ultimate authorities about a crime that has never been solved, it can be unsettling. For those who want a better understanding of this killer, it's a must read.

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Selasa, 11 Februari 2014

[C638.Ebook] Ebook Soul Hits (Paperback Songs), by Hal Leonard Corp.

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(Paperback Songs). This bargain-priced songbook in our popular Paperback Songs series is a compact yet comprehensive collection of 87 soul standards by classic artists such as James Brown, Ray Charles, Sam Cooke, Arehta Franklin, Otis Redding and many others. Includes: Green Onions * I Can't Stop Loving You * I Got You (I Feel Good) * In the Midnight Hour * Let's Get It On * Mustang Sally * Papa's Got a Brand New Bag * Respect * (Sittin' On) The Dock of the Bay * Soul Man * Stand by Me * Superstition * The Tears of a Clown * and many more! 4 x 6.75

  • Sales Rank: #746861 in Books
  • Brand: Hal Leonard
  • Published on: 2002-06-01
  • Released on: 2002-06-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 6.75" h x .60" w x 4.25" l, .34 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 256 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Founded in 1947, Hal Leonard Corporation has become the worlds largest print music publisher, representing some of the greatest songwriters and artists of all time. We are proud to publish titles of interest to all musicians as well as music lovers, from songbooks and instructional titles to artist biographies and instrument price guides to books about the music industry and all the performing arts.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Little Books - Lots of Songs
By Skeeter
Soul Hits has lots of great songs. Unfortunately, I did not realize the book would be so small in size. I was disappointed with the size of this book because it makes it difficult to read the notes. Don't know the reason for the small size; paperbacks can be large or small in size so that should not be a factor. I would rate it higher if the book was larger.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
GREAT AS A QUICK REFERENCE
By ERIC BRAZIER
AS AN AGING MUSICIAN WHOSE REPERTOIR HAILS MAINLY FROM THE ERA WHEN MUSIC WAS REAL,THIS SERVES ME WELL BECAUSE NOT ONLY ARE PEOPLE STARVING FOR REAL MUSIC ... MY MEMORY AIN'T WHAT IT USE TO BE.

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Minggu, 09 Februari 2014

[B204.Ebook] Download PDF School Nursing: A Comprehensive Text, by Janice Selekman DNSc RN

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Experts in the field describe evidence-based, best practices for the care of children while in school, and the role of the school nurse as a vital link in the clinical management of child healthcare. Their common sense, practical approach can be applied to a diversity of school situations across the country.The National Association of School Nurses' core purpose is to advance the delivery of professional school health services to promote optimal health and learning in students. NASN has over 12,000 members and 51 Affiliate School Nurse Organizations. School Nursing: A Comprehensive Text is the only text that is endorsed by the National Association of School Nurses (NASN), the recognized authority on school-age children and school health issues. Please visit their website to learn more about this fantastic organization... http://www.nasn.org/

  • Sales Rank: #733303 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: F.A. Davis Company
  • Published on: 2006-02-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.50" h x 1.50" w x 8.25" l, 5.25 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 1181 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Most helpful customer reviews

18 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
A must-have for every school nurse!
By L. Deese
Had been reading the hype about this book coming out and could not wait to get a copy. Did get it here for a little less that list price but what a deal. The most comprehensive text to date on School Nursing. A must have for every school nurse without a doubt. And this author is publishing a School Nurse Certification Review that is due out in July 2008, cannot wait to search for it here to save some dough!

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By K. Ables
This is a book that every School Nurse should have. It is a constant resource for your everyday practice. The book is very large, but there is so much information in it, that I can't see cutting anything out to reduce the size. If you are a school nurse or even thinking about becoming a school nurse, this is a must have!

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An excellent resource text for school nursing - very extensive and well written with the most up to date information regarding the history and practice of school nursing.

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Sabtu, 08 Februari 2014

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  • Sales Rank: #5803335 in Books
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  • Sales Rank: #260006 in DVD
  • Brand: Brand:
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
I think this was supposed to be funny, but it was just a big snooze fest
By Angel Searle
I think this was supposed to be funny, but it was just a big snooze fest. I kept watching because I thought at some point it will all form a cohesive plot but it was just a mess. I don't even really get the ending.

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More overacting that Jim Carry
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